Tableau 3
Effectifs de tests significatifs (test U de Mann-Withney-Wilcoxon) au risque 10% et niveaux de signification (p*) de ces effectifs estimés par « bootstrap-points » (B-P) et « bootstrap-années » (B-A). Les valeurs de p* fournies en caractère gras sont significatives au risque 10% (p*≤ 0,1). Résultats obtenus pour les 310 points de grille SAFRAN du bassin de la Meuse française. Number of significant tests (MWW test) at a 10% type I error rate and assessment of p-values (p*) through bootstrap resampling without cross-correlation (B-P) and with cross-correlation (B-A). Bold numbers indicate field significant at the significance level of 0.1. Results are given for the 310 SAFRAN grid points of the French Meuse basin.
| scénario d’émission A1B |
scénario d’émission B1 |
scénario d’émission A2 |
||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| décalage > 0 | décalage < 0 | décalage > 0 | décalage < 0 | décalage > 0 | décalage < 0 | |||||||
| Hiver | 0 | 310 | 0 | 170 | 0 | 19 | ||||||
| Printemps | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | ||||||
| Eté | 0 | 310 | 0 | 308 | 0 | 310 | ||||||
| Automne | 0 | 308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 310 | ||||||
| p* | p* | p* | p* | p* | p* | |||||||
| B-P | B-A | B-P | B-A | B-P | B-A | B-P | B-A | B-P | B-A | B-P | B-A | |
| Hiver | 0.086 | 0.009 | 0.000 | 0.493 | 0.060 | 0.003 | 0.000 | 0.408 | 0.404 | 0.016 | 1.000 | 0.403 |
| Printemps | 1.000 | 0.437 | 1.000 | 0.342 | 1.000 | 0.277 | 1.000 | 0.239 | 0.957 | 0.178 | 0.988 | 0.438 |
| Eté | 0.005 | 0.000 | 0.673 | 0.979 | 0.458 | 0.052 | 0.000 | 0.159 | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Automne | 0.877 | 0.123 | 0.000 | 0.204 | 0.569 | 0.034 | 1.000 | 0.522 | 0.040 | 0.005 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
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