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Figure 4

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Gauche : ROC skill score des prévisions S2S du quintile supérieur des précipitations en semaine 3 pour Météo-France et ECMWF. Droite : Différence de ROC skill score entre avant et après application de l’approche statistico-dynamique (calibration + bridging). Référence : MSWEP. Période : Décembre-Janvier-Février 1996-2014.

Left: ROC skill score of week-3 forecasts of the upper quintile of weekly precipitation in Météo-France and ECMWF models. Right: Difference of ROC skill score with vs without application of the statistical-dynamical approach (calibration + bridging). Verification period: December-January-February 1996-2013. Verification reference: MSWEP.

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