Issue |
Climatologie
Volume 3, 2006
|
|
---|---|---|
Page(s) | 43 - 54 | |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.4267/climatologie.688 | |
Published online | 09 October 2015 |
Surmortalité des étés caniculaires et surmortalité hivernale en France
Heat waves related mortality and excess winter mortality in France
Conseil Supérieur de la Météorologie, 42 avenue Gaspard Coriolis 31057 TOULOUSE CEDEX France
* Daniel.Rousseau.met@orange.fr
Le nombre mensuel de décès en France de 1975 à 2006 présente une variation saisonnière avec un maximum marqué durant l’hiver. Ce nombre de décès est comparé à un indicateur des conditions moyennes de température. Une surmortalité exceptionnelle se manifeste pour quelques étés particulièrement chauds. En hiver, la surmortalité est systématique : elle est au moins huit fois plus importante que la mortalité estivale exceptionnelle et modulée en partie par les conditions thermiques.
Abstract
The monthly number of deaths in France from 1975 to 2006 shows a seasonal variation with steep peaks in winter. The number of winter and summer deaths are compared to a gross thermal index. An excess summer mortality occurs only during the hottest summer. The excess winter mortality occurs every winter. It is eight times more important than the heat wave associated mortality and is partly dependent on climatic conditions. A particular attention is given to the large death toll of the most intense heat waves (1976, 1983, 2003, 2006) and compared to the additional death toll of the coldest winter (1985, 1986, 1987).
Mots clés : Canicule / hiver / surmortalité / épidémiologie
Key words: Heat and cold mortality / epidemiology
© Association internationale de climatologie 2006
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License CC-BY-NC (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, except for commercial purposes, provided the original work is properly cited.
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